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BTC Closes September in Typical Fashion, Primes Itself for Strong October

2020.10.01 Robbie Liu

Today's edition of OKEx Insights' Crypto Market Daily covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins and DeFi.

Yesterday was the last trading day of both September and the third quarter. 

The S&P 500 recorded its first monthly decline since April, dropping 3.9%. In the third quarter, however, the index gained a total of 8.5%. Gold prices fell 4.2% in September for the biggest monthly decline since November 2016 after a rising dollar reduced the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Despite this, gold prices rose for the eighth consecutive quarter and are up 5.9% in Q3.

BTC, on the other hand, recorded its second monthly decline since April — closing down 7.53%. However, throughout the third quarter, BTC still recorded a 14.06% gain. The market-leading cryptocurrency typically does not perform well in September, with the average return ranking last among all months. However, October is usually a strong month for BTC, with an average return of 19.50% since 2013. 

Bitcoin prices by month
October is usually a strong month for BTC. Source: CoinMarketCap, OKEx

In terms of Bitcoin's network activity, there has been a spike of new participants coming into BTC. According to on-chain analyst Willy Woo, this new part of the story is not yet reflected in the price. He commented that this is "obviously bullish." 

Bitcoin: Number of new entities (7d moving average). Source: Glassnode, Willy Woo

Overnight, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization rose by 2.3% to $355 billion, with major altcoins generally outperforming BTC. Litecoin (LTC) and Ether (ETH) surged 4.58% and 3.83%, respectively. Chainlink (LINK) reaped a 5.58% gain and is now trading back near $10.20. 

Top cryptocurrency prices on OKEx - 10/1
OKEx's Token Index Board is split, as of 9:00 am UTC on Oct. 1. Source: OKEx

Top altcoin gainers and losers 

  • CVP/USDT +47.50%
  • DIA/USDT +29.22%
  • REN/USDT +23.98%
  • TMTG/USDT -12.31%
  • SFG/USDT -12.66%
  • INX/USDT -20.45%

The decentralized finance sector saw a rally, with the top three altcoin gainers on OKEx all belonging to DeFi tokens. PowerPool Concentrated Voting Power (CVP) realized a huge 47.50% gain over the past 24 hours — giving it a seven-day return of 76%. DIA and REN are also up 29.22% and 23.98%, respectively. 

S.Finance (SFG) continued its downward trend and was among the top losers list for the second consecutive day, falling another 12.66% overnight.

BTC technical analysis

Overnight, the price of BTC has risen to $10,900 levels — but resistance is still evident in the area of $11,000 to $11,200. The intraday support level is located at $10,600. The price still hasn’t broken out of its consolidation phase. 

Bitcoin price chart - 10/1
OKEx's BTC Perpetual Swap 4h chart — 10/1. Source: OKEx, TradingView

ETH technical analysis

ETH has risen sharply over the past 24 hours and has now entered a strong resistance area above $368. Since the volume is still not amplified, the price of ETH may potentially form a bearish divergence on the four-hour RSI indicator. The intraday support level is at $350.

Ethereum price chart - 10/1
OKEx ETH Perpetual Swap 1d chart — 9/30. Source: OKEx, TradingView

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Disclaimer: This material should not be taken as the basis for making investment decisions, nor be construed as a recommendation to engage in investment transactions. Trading digital assets involve significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. You should ensure that you fully understand the risk involved and take into consideration your level of experience, investment objectives and seek independent financial advice if necessary.

OKEx Insights presents market analyses, in-depth features, original research & curated news from crypto professionals. 

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